A prediction market is a market where participants trade event contracts whose value depends on the outcome of a future event, with prices reflecting the collective probability assigned to that outcome. Gemini Predictions is an example of a regulated prediction market.

Yes, Gemini Predictions is regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission and o is designed to comply with applicable financial and commodities regulations, emphasizing transparency, market integrity, and participant protections.

Gemini Predictions allows participants to buy and sell outcome contracts tied to real-world events. Contract prices represent the market’s current estimate of the probability that an event will occur, and contracts settle based on predefined resolution criteria.

Gemini Predictions differs from other prediction market platforms by operating within a regulated, compliance-driven framework, emphasizing transparent market rules, objective outcome resolution, and institutional-grade infrastructure rather than unregulated or entertainment-focused market designs.

Outcomes on Gemini Predictions are resolved using predefined rules and publicly verifiable data sources to ensure transparent settlement. See the for how settlement works and for contract-specific details.  

Yes, Gemini Predictions is integrated into the Gemini platform, allowing users to use their existing Gemini balance to participate in prediction markets and manage their positions alongside the rest of their Gemini activity through a single account and integrated experience. 

Gemini Predictions operates within a regulated framework, using transparent market rules, predefined outcome criteria, and applies Gemini’s established security and compliance controls to promote fair and responsible  participation in prediction markets.