Build on Gemini Predictions
Prediction markets are how you express your view of the world. We're building the best place to do that with
leading APIs, partner events, maker rebates, liquidity rewards
Gemini Predictions programs
Trade prediction markets with programs designed for active participants, market makers, and power users.
Maker Rebates & Taker Rebates
Maker Rebates
Maker rebates incentivize eligible market participants to provide resting liquidity to the order book via maker orders (i.e., orders that do not match immediately and rest on the order book).
Liquidity Rewards pay makers daily for the quality of their resting orders, even when those orders don't fill. The program is designed to deepen books, tighten spreads, and bootstrap activity on selected events.
Learn moreRebates for maker orders are calculated as a percentage of taker fees (with a maximum of 5% of fill notional value). This ensures makers are rewarded proportionally to the taker fee value their liquidity generates.
Learn morePay $0.00 maker fees on qualifying maker-side trades in Gemini Predictions beginning September 2, 2026. This promotion lowers the cost of posting resting liquidity, tightening spreads and deepening order books.
Learn more| Market | Period | Rebate Rate |
|---|---|---|
Crypto and Commodities | June 11, 2026+ | 0.30 |
Politics | June 11, 2026+ | 0.30 |
Sports | June 11, 2026+ | 0.30 |
Economics | June 11, 2026+ | 0.30 |
All other markets | March 18, 2026+ | 0.30 |
Taker Rebates
Taker rebates grow active trading and deepen markets by rewarding eligible participants who provide taker volume to the order book (i.e., orders that match immediately against resting liquidity).
The Daily Reward is paid daily in USD. The reward rate scales with a participant's trailing 30-day taker volume on a rolling window that updates daily.
Learn moreThe Monthly Bonus is paid in USD within two weeks following the end of each calendar month. Monthly Bonuses are evaluated on calendar-month taker volume.
Learn moreReward Example
| Monthly taker volume | Daily reward rate | Monthly Reward |
|---|---|---|
| $500,000 | 0.50% | $2,500 |
| $1,000,000 | 0.50% | $5,000 |
| $2,000,000 | 1.00% | $20,000 |
| $5,000,000 | 1.00% | $50,000 |
| $10,000,000 | 1.50% | $150,000 |
Rewards and builder programs
Reward Received
A cleaner way to trade prediction markets
Get rewarded for meaningful trading activity across eligible markets.
Our high-volume trader and taker rewards programs are designed for active traders who bring volume, conviction, and depth to the ecosystem.
Builders
Build products, tools, data experiences, and trading workflows on top of Gemini prediction markets.
The next generation of prediction market experiences will come from builders creating new interfaces, analytics, alerts, bots, strategies, research tools, and community products that make markets more useful and accessible.
Reward pool remaining
$1,325,948
88.4% left
$1.5M pool
High-volume trader rewards
Our high-volume trader and taker rewards programs are designed for active traders who bring volume, conviction, and depth to the ecosystem.
Get rewarded up to $1,500,000 for meaningful trading activity across eligible markets now through Oct 1, 2026.
API and tools
API and tools
The Gemini API is one of the strongest ways to build and trade in the prediction markets ecosystem.
Use the API to automate workflows, build trading tools, analyze markets, power dashboards, or create new user experiences. Whether you are a trader building for yourself or a developer building for a broader audience, the API gives you direct access to the infrastructure behind Gemini prediction markets.
Example
Event:“Where will BTC finish on Dec 31?”Instrument:BTC above $100,000 (YES-space proposition)YES ask:$0.42NO ask:$0.60
Build custom trading interfaces
Access market data
Create alerts and analytics
Build community products
Track positions and outcomes
Power research tools
Over time, we are exploring more builder tooling, including SDKs, CLI support, OAuth, Discord-based support, and deeper community resources.
Community & Events
Community & Events
Meet the traders, builders, and team members shaping the ecosystem.
Outcome analyzersTinkerersTool buildersMarket traders
Join our Discord
Our community brings together people who are trading markets, building tools, analyzing outcomes, and experimenting with new ideas. This is where builders can meet users, traders can influence product direction, and new ideas can move faster.
Join the community to get closer to the team, meet other participants, and help shape the next phase of Gemini prediction markets.
IdeaPrototypeReal users
Builder Night
Builder Night brings together developers, traders, students, founders, and prediction market power users for live demos, product conversations, technical sessions, and community building.
Expect a mix of market discussion, API walkthroughs, builder showcases, and direct access to the Gemini team.
Stay tuned for more information.
Build with Gemini
Prediction markets are still early. The best products, tools, and communities are being built now.
Whether you are here to trade, build, compete, or partner, Gemini gives you a cleaner, more trusted way to participate in the prediction markets ecosystem.
