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Weekly Market Update - Friday, June 30, 2023

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Blog 063023

Welcome to our Weekly Market Update.* Explore weekly crypto price movements, read a quick digest of notable market news, and dive into a crypto topic — with growing interest around a spot bitcoin ETF, we resurface our origins of Bitcoin discussion.

Crypto Movers
BitcoinBuzz Indicator
Crypto News: What Happened This Week?
Topic of the Week: The Origins of Bitcoin

Frame 1

Bitcoin (BTC) Price | ⬆️ 0.01% | $30,147

Ether (ETH) Price | ⬇️ 1.12% | $1,851

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Price | ⬆️ 104% | $292.66

Compound (COMP) Price | ⬆️ 82.10% | $55.17

Liquity (LQTY) Price | ⬇️ 23.90% | $0.945


Crypto prices as of Friday, June 30, 2023, at 10:30am ET. Percentages reflect trends over the past seven days. Check out the latest crypto prices here. All prices in USD.

BTCBuzz bar new

0630 Dial (1)

BitcoinBuzz data as of 5:00pm ET on June 29, 2023.

The BitcoinBuzz Indicator recorded a strong increase in Bitcoin sentiment this week, pushing the Indicator out of the Buzzing Shift range into Buzzing Chatter. The Indicator score rose almost 3.5 points to 7.46 after last week’s price jump and a flurry of bitcoin ETF applications that dominated the crypto news cycle over the past few weeks.

News sentiment had a particularly strong week, increasing from 2.05 to 10. The shift in news sentiment was especially striking as it moved from SEC enforcement actions against major exchanges dominating the news cycle earlier this month, to various traditional financial institutions vying to launch a spot bitcoin ETF over the past two weeks. Onchain BTC flows likewise increased to the top of the scale, jumping from 6.03 to 10.

To learn more about the BitcoinBuzz Indicator, read our introduction here. Check back every Friday for an updated score!

Frame 2

Takeaways

  • Bitcoin Price Largely Stable: Following large price gains last week spurred by a handful of spot bitcoin ETF applications, BTC held steady around the $30.5k USD range. BTC fell a couple percentage points Friday morning, however, after reports that the SEC considered the ETF applications “inadequate.”
  • Fidelity Bitcoin ETF: Another large U.S. financial institution joined the bitcoin ETF conversation with a refiled application. A previous Fidelity application to launch a bitcoin ETF was rejected in 2022.
  • Leveraged Bitcoin ETF: The first U.S.-based leveraged bitcoin futures ETF launched this week. Volatility Shares’ 2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITX) had $5.7 million USD in net assets as of Thursday.
  • Compound (COMP) Rises 70%+: Over the past seven days, Compound (COMP) prices rose to over $50 a token as COMP volumes spiked on exchanges.
  • Coinbase Lawsuit: In its answer to the SEC lawsuit filed earlier in June, Coinbase outlined its argument that the tokens listed on its exchange are not securities and therefore fall outside the securities regulator’s purview.

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Bitcoin Price Largely Stable After Last Week’s Surge

Bitcoin (BTC) hovered around the $30.5k USD range for most of the week, after soaring past $30k USD last week on the news that BlackRock, Invesco, and other large traditional financial institutions applied to launch bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). BTC dominance remained above 51%.

BTC briefly sought to retest $31k USD earlier in the week on rumors that Fidelity was planning to refile for its own spot bitcoin ETF. The Fidelity news was later confirmed, without spurring much further action in the price of BTC.

On Friday morning, BTC prices fell a couple percentage points after a report that the SEC considers the new spot bitcoin ETF applications “inadequate.” The filings helped drive BTC prices up over the past few weeks. BTC sat around $30.2k USD as of Friday morning.

Fidelity Re-Enters the Spot Bitcoin ETF Race

On Thursday, Fidelity joined a handful of other major U.S. financial institutions by filing a spot bitcoin ETF application with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). A previously filed application by Fidelity was rejected by the SEC in 2022, with the agency highlighting concerns around market manipulation of the underlying BTC markets.

Fidelity joined BlackRock, Invesco, WisdomTree, and Valkyrie as major institutions seek approval for a spot bitcoin ETF. The approval of a bitcoin ETF would allow retail traders to purchase shares representing the value of BTC on major U.S. exchanges, like the Nasdaq.

Leveraged Bitcoin Futures ETF Goes Live

As buzz around a spot bitcoin ETF continues to grow, the first U.S.-based leveraged bitcoin futures ETF debuted this week. Launched by Volatility Shares, the 2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITX) started trading Tuesday on the Cboe BZX Exchange. BITX returns “correspond generally” to 2x the S&P CME Bitcoin Futures Daily Roll Index’s performance on a given day. As of Thursday, the fund’s total net assets stood at $5.7 million USD.

Compound (COMP) Rises Over 70% in a Week Following Volume and Outflow Spike

Over the past seven days, the price of Compound (COMP) has jumped 70%+, surpassing $50 a token amid increased volume and outflows seen on Binance. Overall COMP trading volumes across various trading pairs jumped from an average of $10-$15 million USD from June 11 through June 24 to ~$170 million on Sunday. The platform further added 276 new users to its ecosystem on Sunday, the largest user growth since January of this year.

Compound Finance is an open-source platform for decentralized lending built on the Ethereum network, which allows participants to lend and borrow various cryptocurrencies.

Coinbase Argues That SEC Has No Purview Over Cryptos Listed on its Platform

In an answer filed Thursday to an SEC enforcement action announced in early June, Coinbase elaborated on its position that the tokens listed on its platform are not securities and therefore not regulated by the SEC. In a separate filing, the crypto exchange also argued that its due process rights had been infringed when the SEC brought the case.

Coinbase’s answer marks its first filing in the SEC lawsuit alleging that it operated an unregistered securities exchange, broker-dealer, and clearing agency, and sold unregistered securities.

-From Team Gemini

CryptoNews (1)

The Origins of Bitcoin

(originally posted April 28)

With continued interest in the potential of a bitcoin ETF, today we resurface our discussion of the origins of Bitcoin. Most of us think of Bitcoin as the original cryptocurrency, as it spawned an entirely new asset class. While its impact on the financial system and the wider world has been profound, there were a few much lesser known precursors that laid the foundation for the crypto universe. Today, we look back to the roots of Bitcoin. To read more deeply about this topic check out this article on Cryptopedia authored by our founders.

What came before Bitcoin?

Bitcoin has played a unique role in creating a movement to decentralize existing, centralized financial services, but it was not the first attempt at creating digital money.

The notion of scarcity with respect to digital money was famously envisioned by Nick Szabo when he proposed Bit Gold in 1998. B-Money, another conceptual precursor to Bitcoin proposed by Wei Dai, a computer engineer, Cypherpunk, and cryptographer, arose around the same time and is referenced in the Bitcoin whitepaper.

Going even further back, the idea of building cost (or digital scarcity) into a system using proof of work (PoW) was first conceptualized by Cynthia Dwork and Moni Naor in 1993 as a way to protect Internet services from abuse such as spam. In 1997, an English Cypherpunk named Dr. Adam Back implemented this concept into his project Hashcash, a service aimed at limiting spam and denial of service attacks by requiring a sender to generate a Hashcash token by solving a PoW puzzle.

Read more about Bitcoin’s precursors here.

Together, Bit Gold, B-Money, Hashcash, and other early examples of digital money and consensus mechanisms set the stage for Bitcoin.

Bitcoin arrives on the scene

The Bitcoin white paper was published by the mysterious Satoshi Nakamoto in 2008 and the network launched in January of 2009 upon the mining of the “Genesis Block” — the first block of the Bitcoin blockchain. Bitcoin created a digital currency that operates in a fully-decentralized, trustless manner that allows users to send monetary value to each other through the Internet without the need for trusted, financial intermediaries.

This was made possible by a major breakthrough in its PoW consensus mechanism. Instead of relying on a majority of nodes (known as “miners”) to reach consensus, Bitcoin relies on the majority of hashrate — the network’s processing power — to reach consensus.

Read more about PoW here.

Acquiring a majority of the network’s hash rate is expensive, making it costly for a miner to tamper with the ledger. Moreover, in doing so, a dishonest miner would forgo the handsome bounties of newly minted bitcoin (known as the “block reward”) that are awarded approximately every 10 minutes to the “winning” miner who correctly solves the PoW puzzle. Therefore, it is assumed that a rational, economically-motivated miner will commit her processing power toward securing the integrity of the blockchain instead of trying to manipulate it and cheat the system.

This incentive structure has turned digital money, a movement once made up predominantly of computer scientists and cryptographers, into an increasingly mainstream phenomenon.

Check out more about the history and culture of Bitcoin, its technical structure, and how it's secured by the blockchain.

See you next week. Onward and Upward!

Team Gemini

*This material is for informational purposes only and is not (i) an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to invest in, or to buy or sell, any interests or shares, or to participate in any investment or trading strategy, (ii) intended to provide accounting, legal, or tax advice, or investment recommendations, or (iii) an official statement of Gemini. Gemini, its affiliates and its employees do not make any representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to accuracy or completeness of the information or any other information transmitted or made available. Buying, selling, and trading cryptocurrency involves risks, including the risk of losing all of the invested amount. Recipients should consult their advisors before making any investment decision. Any use, review, retransmission, distribution, or reproduction of these materials, in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited in any form without the express written approval of Gemini.

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