Trade on real-world outcomes
Simple Yes or No markets. Get paid if you're right.
Enter to win $1000
Every $50 traded on Gemini Predictions earns an entry. 25 winners to receive $1,000 each.
Every $50 traded on Gemini Predictions earns an entry. 25 winners to receive $1,000 each.
No purchase necessary. Open to U.S. residents 18+. Ends 2/9/26. Void where prohibited.
Why predict with Gemini
Clear outcomes, transparent terms
Outcome-based contracts with defined settlement rules. Review the criteria upfront so you know exactly what Yes and No mean.
Yes
No
Clear outcomes, transparent terms
Outcome-based contracts with defined settlement rules. Review the criteria upfront so you know exactly what Yes and No mean.
Yes
No
One account, one experience
Predict using your Gemini balance and manage positions alongside the rest of your Gemini activity.
The Situation Room
Monitoring the situation™ on Gemini
FAQs
What is a Prediction Market?
A prediction market is a market where participants trade event contracts whose value depends on the outcome of a future event, with prices reflecting the collective probability assigned to that outcome. Gemini Predictions is an example of a regulated prediction market.
Is Gemini Predictions regulated?
Yes, Gemini Predictions is regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission and o is designed to comply with applicable financial and commodities regulations, emphasizing transparency, market integrity, and participant protections.
How does Gemini Predictions work?
Gemini Predictions allows participants to buy and sell outcome contracts tied to real-world events. Contract prices represent the market’s current estimate of the probability that an event will occur, and contracts settle based on predefined resolution criteria.
What makes Gemini Predictions different from other prediction market platforms?
Gemini Predictions differs from other prediction market platforms by operating within a regulated, compliance-driven framework, emphasizing transparent market rules, objective outcome resolution, and institutional-grade infrastructure rather than unregulated or entertainment-focused market designs.
How are outcomes resolved on Gemini Predictions?
Outcomes on Gemini Predictions are resolved using predefined rules and publicly verifiable data sources to ensure transparent settlement. See the for how settlement works and for contract-specific details.
Can I use my existing Gemini balance to trade on Gemini Predictions?
Yes, Gemini Predictions is integrated into the Gemini platform, allowing users to use their existing Gemini balance to participate in prediction markets and manage their positions alongside the rest of their Gemini activity through a single account and integrated experience.
How does Gemini approach safe and responsible predictions participation?
Gemini Predictions operates within a regulated framework, using transparent market rules, predefined outcome criteria, and applies Gemini’s established security and compliance controls to promote fair and responsible participation in prediction markets.
Make a prediction today
Trade on real-life outcomes with Gemini Predictions.
Event contracts are speculative and involve risk of loss. You could lose some or all of your investment. Markets may be illiquid. Fees and spreads may apply. Availability varies by location.
